
Severe Weather Today: Extreme Heat, Floods and Storms Threaten Global Hotspots
Extreme heat, torrential rain, flash-flood risk, thunderstorms and strong winds are affecting major cities across Europe, the United States, Asia and the Middle East. The most important hotspots to monitor include Wenzhou, Tokyo, Baghdad, New Orleans, Phoenix, Las Vegas, Warsaw and Athens.
Global severe weather outlook:
- Extreme heat: Baghdad could approach +47…+49°C, while Dubai, Phoenix, Las Vegas, Dallas, Seville, Madrid, Rome, Milan, Budapest and Belgrade remain dangerously hot.
- Flood risk: Wenzhou, Tokyo, New Orleans and Mumbai face the strongest rainfall signals in this forecast selection.
- Thunderstorms: Warsaw, Phoenix, Las Vegas and New Orleans have notable convective or aviation disruption risk.
- Strong winds: Athens stands out in Europe, with gusts potentially near 70–73 km/h.
- Aviation: METAR/TAF signals point to temporary hazards around Warsaw, Phoenix, Las Vegas, New Orleans and Athens.
| City | Main threat | Forecast signal | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wenzhou | Torrential rain / flooding | ~79 mm in 24 hours, gusts near 65 km/h | High |
| Tokyo | Heavy rain / strong gusts | ~60 mm in one day, gusts 60–65 km/h | High |
| Baghdad | Extreme heat | +47…+49°C, nights above +30°C | High |
| New Orleans | Heavy rain / thunderstorms | ~66 mm in one day plus thunderstorm potential | High |
| Phoenix | Heat / storms / dust | ~+42°C, CB, gusts and blowing dust risk | High |
| Las Vegas | Extreme heat / storms | ~+42…+43°C, vicinity thunderstorms | High |
| Warsaw | Thunderstorms / aviation | 40% TSRA probability, gusts near 30 kt | Moderate–High |
| Athens | Strong winds | Gusts near 70–73 km/h | Moderate–High |
Asia and the Middle East: Floods and Extreme Heat
Wenzhou, China — Torrential Rain and Strong Winds
Eastern China remains one of the more concerning heavy-rain zones. Forecast data indicates around 79 mm of rain in 24 hours, with wind gusts near 65 km/h and additional heavy rain later in the week.
Main hazards: torrential rain, urban flooding, strong wind.
Tokyo, Japan — Heavy Rain and Strong Gusts
Tokyo may see approximately 60 mm of rain in one day, with wind gusts reaching around 60–65 km/h. Localized flooding and transport disruption are possible during the most intense rainfall.
Main hazards: heavy rain, localized flooding, strong wind.
Baghdad, Iraq — Extreme Heat Near 50°C
Baghdad could reach approximately +47°C to +49°C, while nighttime temperatures remain above +30°C. The lack of overnight cooling sharply increases heat stress.
Main hazard: extreme heat.
Dubai, UAE — Persistent Extreme Heat
Dubai is forecast around +40°C to +44°C with very warm nights. High humidity may make conditions feel even more oppressive.
Main hazard: extreme heat.
Mumbai, India — Persistent Monsoon Rain
Mumbai remains in an active monsoon pattern with repeated rainfall. Accumulated precipitation can increase waterlogging, transport disruption and localized flood risk.
Main hazards: prolonged rain, flooding risk.
Europe: Heat, Thunderstorms and Strong Winds
Athens — Strong Winds and Fire-Weather Concern
Open-Meteo guidance indicates gusts potentially reaching 70–73 km/h. Aviation forecasts also indicate stronger northerly winds with gusts around 28 kt.
Main hazards: strong wind, aviation disruption, elevated fire-weather concern.
Warsaw — Thunderstorms and Aviation Risk
The TAF includes a 40% probability of temporary thunderstorms with rain, cumulonimbus clouds, reduced visibility and wind gusts potentially reaching 30 kt / 56 km/h.
Main hazards: thunderstorms, gusts, heavy rain, airport disruption.
Seville — Intense Heat
Temperatures may rise toward +40°C to +41°C. Mostly dry conditions mean heat is the primary threat.
Madrid — Heatwave Conditions
Madrid may reach +38°C to +39°C, with significant afternoon heat stress.
Rome — Persistent Heat
Rome is expected to reach approximately +37°C to +38°C, with warm nights limiting recovery.
Milan — Heat and Possible Instability
Milan may reach around +37°C, with some potential for atmospheric instability later in the period.
Budapest — Heat and Gusty Winds
Budapest may reach around +36°C, with gusts near 45 km/h. Heat and wind can increase fire-weather concerns.
Belgrade — Very Hot Conditions
Belgrade may approach +36°C to +37°C. Heat remains the dominant hazard.
Vienna — Heat Followed by Showers
Vienna may initially reach around +35°C, followed by somewhat cooler conditions and temporary showers.
Bucharest — Heat and Increasing Wind
Bucharest may reach approximately +35°C, with stronger winds developing later.
United States: Five Cities to Watch
New Orleans — Heavy Rain and Flash-Flood Risk
Forecast guidance indicates approximately 66 mm of rain in one day, while the TAF includes thunderstorm and rain potential. Localized flash flooding and airport disruption are possible.
Phoenix — Heat, Thunderstorms and Blowing Dust
Temperatures may reach around +42°C. Aviation forecasts indicate possible thunderstorms, cumulonimbus, gusts near 25 kt and blowing dust.
Las Vegas — Extreme Heat and Thunderstorm Risk
Las Vegas may reach approximately +42°C to +43°C, while the TAF includes vicinity thunderstorms, cumulonimbus and gusty wind.
Dallas — Heat Above 40°C
Dallas may approach or exceed +40°C. Current airport guidance keeps heat as the dominant risk.
Miami — Dangerous Heat and Humidity
Very high humidity may push the heat index well above the measured air temperature. Isolated thunderstorms remain possible.

Aviation Outlook: Where Flights May Face Disruption
- Warsaw: TSRA, cumulonimbus, gusts up to 30 kt and reduced visibility possible.
- Phoenix: thunderstorms, CB, blowing dust and gusts around 25 kt.
- Las Vegas: vicinity thunderstorms, cumulonimbus and gusty winds.
- New Orleans: thunderstorm and heavy-rain potential.
- Athens: persistent strong surface winds and gusty conditions.
METAR and TAF are useful for airport and terminal-area hazards, but they do not directly forecast en-route turbulence. SIGMET, AIRMET and dedicated turbulence products remain more appropriate for route-level turbulence assessment.
Main Global Risk Areas
Extreme heat: Baghdad, Dubai, Phoenix, Las Vegas, Dallas, Seville, Madrid, Rome, Milan, Budapest and Belgrade.
Heavy rain and flooding: Wenzhou, Tokyo, New Orleans and Mumbai.
Thunderstorms and aviation disruption: Warsaw, Phoenix, Las Vegas and New Orleans.
Strong winds: Athens is the standout European wind-risk city in this selection.

Severe Weather Alerts in Weather Forecaster
Weather Forecaster provides local hourly forecasts, precipitation, wind, UV index and severe-weather alerts for locations worldwide. Use it to track rapidly changing conditions around your city before travel or outdoor activity.
Severe Weather FAQ
Where is the most extreme heat?
Baghdad is the hottest location in this selection, with daytime temperatures approaching +47°C to +49°C. Dubai, Phoenix, Las Vegas and Dallas also face dangerous heat.
Which cities have the greatest flood risk?
Wenzhou, Tokyo, New Orleans and Mumbai have the strongest rainfall or accumulated-rain signals in this outlook.
Which European city has the strongest wind risk?
Athens stands out, with forecast gusts potentially near 70–73 km/h.
Which airports may face thunderstorm disruption?
Warsaw, Phoenix, Las Vegas and New Orleans show the clearest thunderstorm or convective aviation signals in the supplied forecast.
Can METAR and TAF predict turbulence?
They can reveal thunderstorms, cumulonimbus, strong winds and visibility hazards near airports, but en-route turbulence is better assessed with SIGMET, AIRMET and dedicated turbulence guidance.


