A hefty low-pressure system is set to roll in during late May and early June, shaking things up across the continent. Expect unsettled weather with rain, cooler temps, and even some severe weather potential, especially in central and northern Europe. From the UK to Germany and beyond, it’ll feel more like spring’s encore than summer’s debut. But don’t despair—this stormy start won’t last long!
June: Finding Its Groove
As June unfolds, the weather starts to settle. High-pressure systems will nudge in over the North Atlantic and southern Europe, while a low-pressure zone lingers over the northeast. This sets up a northwesterly flow across central Europe, bringing stable conditions and average temperatures. The northwest and south will bask in warmer-than-normal weather—perfect for a picnic in France or Spain! Meanwhile, central and northeastern areas might stay cooler, and the UK, Ireland, and Scandinavia could see extra showers. It’s a mixed bag, but the sunshine is starting to peek through.
July to September: Summer Heats Up
Now, here’s where it gets exciting! By mid-summer, high-pressure systems take charge, especially over central and northwestern Europe. This means above-average temperatures and drier conditions for much of the continent. Central Europe—think Germany, Poland, and the Low Countries—could be in for some serious heat, with an increased chance of heatwaves in July and August. Time to fire up the barbecues and hit the lakes!
But not everyone’s in for a scorcher. Northern UK and Scandinavia might dodge the heat with wetter weather, thanks to a stubborn low-pressure area up north. Meanwhile, southwestern and southeastern Europe could trend drier—great for sunbathing, but farmers might keep a close eye on those rain gauges.
Summer 2025 : Heatwave Watch
With high-pressure locking in, heatwaves are on the horizon, especially later in the season. July and August could bring prolonged hot spells, making it a dream for beach lovers but a challenge for staying cool. Stock up on sunscreen and hydration tips if you’re in central Europe—these could be some of the toastiest days of the year!
The Big Picture
Summer 2025 is shaping up to be a classic European summer—warm, sunny, and ripe for outdoor fun. After a shaky start, expect the middle and end of the season to deliver the goods: drier skies, warmer days, and plenty of opportunities to soak up the sun. Just keep your plans flexible early on, and don’t be caught off guard by a stray shower in the north.
As we transition into the summer 2025, meteorological models indicate a dynamic season ahead for Europe, characterized by varying patterns of heat, precipitation, and atmospheric pressure across different regions.
Here’s a country-by-country breakdown
🇬🇧 United Kingdom
The UK is projected to experience a significantly hotter Summer 2025, with the Met Office reporting a 2.3 times higher likelihood of above-average temperatures. This follows the sunniest and driest spring on record, with 630 hours of sunshine and temperatures reaching up to 26.7°C in Heathrow at the end of May. While this doesn’t guarantee continuous extreme heat, periods of hot weather interspersed with cooler days or warm nights are expected.
🇫🇷 France
France is expected to see warmer-than-average temperatures, especially in the southern regions. The high-pressure systems over central Europe may lead to drier conditions, increasing the risk of droughts and heatwaves. Northern France might experience more variable weather with occasional rainfall.
🇩🇪 Germany
Germany is forecasted to have a warmer Summer 2025, particularly in the central and southern parts. The presence of high-pressure systems suggests drier conditions, which could lead to droughts and increased heatwave potential. Northern Germany may experience more precipitation due to low-pressure influences.
🇮🇹 Italy
Italy, especially the southern regions, is expected to face intense heatwaves, with temperatures potentially soaring above 40°C. The high-pressure systems over central Europe contribute to these conditions, leading to drier weather and increased risk of wildfires.
🇪🇸 Spain
Spain is bracing for extreme heat, particularly in the southern regions like Seville and Cordoba, where temperatures could reach up to 42°C. The “Iberian Oven” effect, caused by hot, dry air from Africa, is expected to exacerbate conditions, leading to heatwaves and potential thunderstorms.
🇵🇹 Portugal
Portugal’s southern regions are also expected to experience intense heat, with temperatures potentially reaching 37°C in Lisbon. The northern parts may remain relatively cooler, but the overall trend points towards a hotter and drier summer.
🇵🇱 Poland
Poland is forecasted to have a warmer-than-average Summer 2025, with positive temperature anomalies across the country. Rainfall is expected to be around the long-term average, suggesting a balanced but warm season.
🇺🇦 Ukraine
Ukraine is likely to experience above-normal temperatures, especially in the central and southern regions. The high-pressure systems over central Europe may lead to drier conditions, increasing the risk of droughts and heatwaves.
🇳🇱 Netherlands
The Netherlands may see a warmer summer with drier conditions due to the influence of high-pressure systems. However, occasional rainfall is still possible, particularly in the northern regions.
🇧🇪 Belgium
Belgium is expected to experience warmer-than-average temperatures, with the possibility of drier conditions in the southern parts. Northern regions may see more variable weather with occasional rainfall.
🇨🇭 Switzerland
Switzerland is forecasted to have a warmer Summer 2025, especially in the southern regions. The high-pressure systems over central Europe may lead to drier conditions, increasing the risk of droughts and heatwaves.
🇦🇹 Austria
Austria is likely to experience above-normal temperatures, particularly in the eastern regions. The high-pressure systems may lead to drier conditions, increasing the risk of droughts and heatwaves.
🇨🇿 Czech Republic
The Czech Republic is expected to have a warmer summer with drier conditions due to the influence of high-pressure systems. However, occasional rainfall is still possible, particularly in the northern regions.
🇭🇺 Hungary
Hungary is forecasted to experience above-normal temperatures, especially in the central and southern regions. The high-pressure systems may lead to drier conditions, increasing the risk of droughts and heatwaves.
🇷🇴 Romania
Romania is likely to have a warmer summer, particularly in the southern regions. The high-pressure systems over central Europe may lead to drier conditions, increasing the risk of droughts and heatwaves.
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
Bulgaria is expected to experience above-normal temperatures, especially in the southern regions. The high-pressure systems may lead to drier conditions, increasing the risk of droughts and heatwaves.
🇬🇷 Greece
Greece is forecasted to have an extremely warm summer, with temperatures significantly above average. The high-pressure systems over central Europe contribute to these conditions, leading to drier weather and increased risk of wildfires. ECMWF
🇸🇪 Sweden
Sweden may experience a warmer Summer 2025, particularly in the southern regions. However, the northern parts may see more variable weather with occasional rainfall due to low-pressure influences.
🇳🇴 Norway
Norway is expected to have a mixed summer, with warmer temperatures in the southern regions and more variable weather with occasional rainfall in the northern parts due to low-pressure influences.
🇫🇮 Finland
Finland is likely to experience a warmer summer, especially in the southern regions. The northern parts may see more variable weather with occasional rainfall due to low-pressure influences.
🇮🇪 Ireland
Ireland is set to experience continued unsettled weather, with no indication of prolonged sunny periods in the immediate future. Meteorologists forecast a mixed start to June with sunny intervals, frequent showers, and strong winds. Improvement is anticipated from mid-June onwards, with higher pressure bringing drier, calmer weather and temperatures slightly above seasonal averages.
Stay updated with the latest weather forecasts and prepare accordingly for the Summer 2025 ahead.
The Founder and Chief Meteorologist at Pogodnik.com. With over 15 years of operational experience in synoptic analysis and climate forecasting, he specializes in storm tracking, magnetic storms, and atmospheric dynamics. A recognized expert in Ukraine’s meteorological sector, he maintains strategic collaborations with global agencies, including NOAA and ECMWF, to ensure high-precision data integration. His analytical reviews and scientific contributions are regularly featured in leading media outlets dedicated to weather science and environmental trends.
