Winter 2025 Snowfall Predictions for Europe, Including Early Spring Trends
As the winter of 2024/2025 unfolds, the latest predictions indicate a dynamic but generally weaker snowfall season across much of Europe. While certain regions are expected to experience notable snow events, others may see snowfall below average, especially during mid to late winter. This article breaks down the snowfall forecast using insights from two leading long-range weather forecasting models: ECMWF and UKMO.
We'll explore expected snowfall trends month by month, highlighting areas likely to experience significant snowfall. Let's dive into what the winter and early spring of 2025 might hold.
Meteorological winter spans December through February, statistically the coldest months of the year. For this period, the dominant weather patterns influencing snowfall include cold air influx, precipitation availability, and atmospheric pressure systems.
December 2024
The early part of winter shows potential for moderate snowfall in northern and eastern Europe. Scandinavia is projected to see above-average snowfall due to a strong jet stream and persistent low-pressure systems. Central Europe, including the Alps, may also experience significant snowfall, particularly in higher altitudes.
Meanwhile, southeastern Europe, including the Balkans, could benefit from colder air patterns later in the month, increasing snowfall chances. Conversely, much of western Europe, including parts of France and Spain, might see below-normal snowfall due to limited cold air overlap with precipitation.
January 2025
The outlook for January suggests a more subdued snowfall season across most of Europe. Snowfall deficits are expected in central and southern Europe due to a lack of sustained cold air and precipitation. Scandinavia remains a key exception, with snowfall potentially exceeding seasonal averages, particularly in northern Norway and Sweden.
February 2025
February is likely to see the weakest snowfall of the winter season across much of Europe. Despite colder temperatures in central and eastern Europe, precipitation levels may not align to produce significant snowfall events. The Alps and Pyrenees might still receive some late-season snow, benefiting from localized atmospheric conditions.
Early Spring: March and April 2025
As winter transitions into spring, snowfall potential diminishes across much of Europe. However, higher altitudes, such as the Alps, Carpathians, and Pyrenees, may still see periodic snowfall through March. Scandinavia is forecast to maintain a stronger snowfall presence into early spring, especially in northern regions.
By April, snowfall becomes largely confined to mountainous areas, with most lowland regions experiencing milder, wetter conditions. Southern Europe is expected to see a faster shift toward spring-like weather, with minimal snow.
Snowfall Hotspots for Winter 2024/2025
- Scandinavia: Above-average snowfall expected, especially in northern Norway, Sweden, and Finland.
- Alps (Central Europe): Moderate snowfall likely, particularly at higher elevations.
- Balkans (Southeastern Europe): Potential for increased snowfall in late December and March, although overall below seasonal norms.
- Northern and Eastern Europe: Periodic snowfall events, with variability based on local pressure systems.
The winter of 2024/2025 is shaping up to be a challenging season for snow enthusiasts in Europe, with below-average snowfall predicted for much of the continent. Scandinavia and high-altitude regions remain the most reliable areas for snow. Meanwhile, milder conditions in southern and central Europe could lead to a lackluster snowfall season.
We'll continue to monitor developments in the forecast, providing updates as new data becomes available. Stay tuned for more detailed insights into Europe's seasonal weather trends!
Chief forecaster and ideologist of the weather forecast service Pogodnik. Co-author of scientific articles and specialized content for various online media.
