Solar maximum may come early: what's in store for us in the 25th cycle of activity?
The Sun is gradually coming out of its minimum phase, and scientists around the world are watching its behavior closely. According to new predictions, the peak of the 25th solar cycle may come sooner than previously thought.
The peak was originally predicted for 2025, but analysis of the latest data by a team of American scientists led by Robert Leeman and Scott McIntosh suggests it could come in late 2024.
This means we are in for an earlier and possibly more intense increase in solar activity than previously predicted.
What could this mean for us?
First, we should expect an increase in sunspots, flares and coronal emissions.
This could cause disruptions to power grids, satellite communications and GPS systems.
There may also be an increase in the number of auroras, which can be observed even at low latitudes.
Second, there is an increased risk of radiation storms.
These events can be hazardous to human health, especially for astronauts and air passengers.
Therefore, it is important that the relevant services are prepared for a possible increase in solar activity.
It is worth noting that forecasts of solar activity are not always accurate, there are many factors that can influence the behavior of the Sun, and it is impossible to predict with complete certainty when exactly the peak of its activity will occur.
Nevertheless, it is important to be aware of the possible risks and take the necessary precautions.
Solar peak forecast
The year 2024 is expected to see not only an earlier, but also a longer peak in solar activity.
This means that the period of increased activity could last until 2030.
Scientists are calling for international cooperation in solar activity research and forecasting.
This will allow us to better prepare for possible negative consequences.
It should also be noted that there are potentially positive aspects of increased solar activity.
For example, it can lead to increased energy production from renewable sources such as solar energy.
It is important that we use knowledge of solar activity not only to minimize risks, but also to maximize benefits.
Chief forecaster and ideologist of the weather forecast service Pogodnik. Co-author of scientific articles and specialized content for various online media.
