{"id":255189,"date":"2026-09-22T13:15:56","date_gmt":"2026-09-22T10:15:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/?p=255189"},"modified":"2026-09-22T13:19:29","modified_gmt":"2026-09-22T10:19:29","slug":"europe-heat-returns-after-the-cold-blast-spain-nears-38c-as-the-warm-ridge-expands","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/news\/europe-heat-returns-after-the-cold-blast-spain-nears-38c-as-the-warm-ridge-expands","title":{"rendered":"Europe Heat Returns After the Cold Blast: Spain Nears 38\u00b0C as the Warm Ridge Expands"},"content":{"rendered":"<style id=\"weather-forecaster-europe-heat-prod\">.wf-eu-heat{width:100%;max-width:100%;min-width:0;margin:0;padding:0 14px;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:17px;line-height:1.72;color:inherit!important;background:transparent!important;overflow-wrap:anywhere}.wf-eu-heat *,.wf-eu-heat *::before,.wf-eu-heat *::after{box-sizing:border-box}.wf-eu-heat article,.wf-eu-heat section,.wf-eu-heat div,.wf-eu-heat p,.wf-eu-heat h1,.wf-eu-heat h2,.wf-eu-heat h3,.wf-eu-heat ul,.wf-eu-heat ol,.wf-eu-heat li,.wf-eu-heat strong,.wf-eu-heat span,.wf-eu-heat th,.wf-eu-heat td,.wf-eu-heat small,.wf-eu-heat em{color:inherit!important}.wf-eu-heat h1{font-size:clamp(28px,4vw,42px);line-height:1.16;margin:0 0 18px;font-weight:800}.wf-eu-heat h2{font-size:clamp(22px,3vw,30px);line-height:1.25;margin:34px 0 14px;font-weight:800}.wf-eu-heat h3{font-size:clamp(19px,2.4vw,23px);line-height:1.32;margin:24px 0 10px;font-weight:750}.wf-eu-heat p{margin:0 0 16px}.wf-eu-heat a{color:inherit!important;text-decoration:underline;overflow-wrap:anywhere;word-break:break-word}.wf-eu-heat .lead{font-size:clamp(18px,2vw,21px);line-height:1.65}.wf-eu-heat .summary,.wf-eu-heat .callout,.wf-eu-heat .sources,.wf-eu-heat .cta,.wf-eu-heat .quick-links,.wf-eu-heat .note{width:100%;border:1px solid currentColor;border-left-width:5px;border-radius:12px;padding:16px 18px;margin:22px 0;background:rgba(127,127,127,.06)!important}.wf-eu-heat .grid{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(4,minmax(0,1fr));gap:12px;margin:20px 0}.wf-eu-heat .card{border:1px solid currentColor;border-radius:12px;padding:14px;background:rgba(127,127,127,.05)!important}.wf-eu-heat .card strong{display:block;font-size:22px;line-height:1.15;margin-bottom:5px}.wf-eu-heat .table-wrap{width:100%;overflow-x:auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling:touch;margin:20px 0}.wf-eu-heat table{width:100%;min-width:760px;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:15px}.wf-eu-heat th,.wf-eu-heat td{border:1px solid currentColor;padding:10px;text-align:left;vertical-align:top}.wf-eu-heat th{background:rgba(127,127,127,.10)!important;font-weight:800}.wf-eu-heat tr:nth-child(even) td{background:rgba(127,127,127,.04)!important}.wf-eu-heat ul,.wf-eu-heat ol{margin:0 0 20px 22px;padding:0}.wf-eu-heat li{margin:0 0 8px}.wf-eu-heat .quick-links a{display:inline-block;margin:0 12px 8px 0}.wf-eu-heat .cta{text-align:center}.wf-eu-heat .cta img{display:block;width:100%;max-width:100%;height:auto;margin:0 auto 16px;border-radius:12px}.wf-eu-heat .cta a{display:inline-block;margin-top:8px;padding:11px 16px;border:1px solid currentColor;border-radius:9px;text-decoration:none;font-weight:800}.wf-eu-heat .small{font-size:14px;opacity:.88}html[data-theme=\"dark\"] .wf-eu-heat,body[data-theme=\"dark\"] .wf-eu-heat,html.dark .wf-eu-heat,body.dark .wf-eu-heat,body.dark-mode .wf-eu-heat,body.dark-theme .wf-eu-heat,body.wp-dark-mode-active .wf-eu-heat,.wp-dark-mode-active .wf-eu-heat{color:inherit!important;background:transparent!important}@media(max-width:900px){.wf-eu-heat .grid{grid-template-columns:repeat(2,minmax(0,1fr))}}@media(max-width:760px){.wf-eu-heat{padding-left:10px!important;padding-right:10px!important}.wf-eu-heat table{min-width:680px}.wf-eu-heat h1{font-size:29px}.wf-eu-heat h2{font-size:23px}.wf-eu-heat .grid{grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr}}@media(max-width:480px){.wf-eu-heat .grid{grid-template-columns:1fr}}<\/style>\n<div class=\"wf-eu-heat\" lang=\"en\">\n<article>\n<h1>Europe\u2019s Heat Returns After the Cold Blast: Where the Late-September Warm Surge Will Hit \u2014 and Where It May Fall Short<\/h1>\n<p class=\"lead\"><strong>Europe is about to swing from one extreme to another.<\/strong> Just days after a sharp polar intrusion brought the first snow to the Romanian and Ukrainian Carpathians, frost risk to parts of Germany and unusually cold conditions across the Balkans, a large ridge of high pressure is building back across western and southern Europe.<\/p>\n<p>The change will be dramatic in some regions.<\/p>\n<p>Southern Spain is forecast to approach <strong>37\u201338\u00b0C<\/strong>, southwestern France will climb above <strong>30\u00b0C<\/strong>, northern Italy will warm again toward the upper 20s, and parts of the Balkans will recover by more than 10 degrees from this week\u2019s cold spell.<\/p>\n<p>But there is an important update.<\/p>\n<p>Fresh Weather Forecaster model guidance checked on <strong>Tuesday, September 22<\/strong>, shows that the warming is <strong>not equally strong everywhere<\/strong>, and some of the more aggressive heat-dome scenarios published earlier are not yet confirmed at city level.<\/p>\n<p>Spain and southwestern France clearly support a major late-season heat signal. Germany warms later. Italy and the Balkans recover substantially. But Paris, London and Stockholm are currently much cooler than the broadest heat-dome projections would suggest.<\/p>\n<div class=\"summary\">\n<p><strong>At a glance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Southern Spain:<\/strong> the strongest confirmed heat signal, with Seville near 37\u201338\u00b0C.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Southwestern France:<\/strong> Bordeaux around 31\u201332\u00b0C, consistent with official M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France guidance for the Garonne corridor.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Italy:<\/strong> warming builds later, especially Sunday, September 27, through Tuesday, September 29.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Germany:<\/strong> immediate heat is not confirmed; stronger warming is delayed toward Tuesday, September 29, and Wednesday, September 30.<\/li>\n<li><strong>London, Paris and Stockholm:<\/strong> mild to warm, but no short-range major heatwave signal in the latest city guidance.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"grid\">\n<div class=\"card\"><strong>37\u201338\u00b0C<\/strong>Seville during the hottest phase<\/div>\n<div class=\"card\"><strong>32\u201333\u00b0C<\/strong>southwestern France \/ Garonne corridor<\/div>\n<div class=\"card\"><strong>~29\u00b0C<\/strong>Florence by Monday, September 28<\/div>\n<div class=\"card\"><strong>~26\u00b0C<\/strong>Berlin by Wednesday, September 30<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"quick-links\"><strong>Local forecasts:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/10797-weather-in-sevilla-spain\/month\">Seville weather<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/53-weather-in-paris-france\/month\">Paris weather<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/10580-weather-in-london-united-kingdom\/month\">London weather<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/10593-weather-in-berlin-germany\/month\">Berlin weather<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/88-weather-in-milano-italy\/month\">Milan weather<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/59-weather-in-athens-greece\">Athens weather<\/a><\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-253259\" src=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/eu-weather-scaled.webp\" alt=\"Weather Forecast for Europe\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1425\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/eu-weather-scaled.webp 2560w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=300,height=167,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/eu-weather.webp 300w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=600,height=334,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/eu-weather.webp 600w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=768,height=427,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/eu-weather.webp 768w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=1536,height=855,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/eu-weather.webp 1536w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=2048,height=1140,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/eu-weather.webp 2048w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=150,height=83,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/eu-weather.webp 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Europe is flipping from a polar outbreak to a heat dome<\/h2>\n<p>The large-scale atmospheric pattern over Europe is undergoing a major reversal.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this week, cold air plunged southward through Eastern Europe and the Balkans. Snow reached the high Carpathians in Romania and Ukraine, including B\u00e2lea Lac and Mount Pip Ivan, while temperatures fell sharply from Germany through Romania, Bulgaria and the western Balkans.<\/p>\n<p>Now the pressure pattern over the Atlantic and Europe is reorganizing.<\/p>\n<p>A deep upper-level trough is developing over the North Atlantic while a strong ridge expands northward from North Africa and the Mediterranean into western and central Europe.<\/p>\n<p>That creates a powerful <strong>southerly to southwesterly flow<\/strong> between the Atlantic low and the continental ridge.<\/p>\n<p>In simple terms, Europe begins drawing much warmer air northward from Spain, North Africa and the western Mediterranean.<\/p>\n<p>Severe Weather Europe describes the pattern as a renewed <strong>heat dome<\/strong>, with unusually warm air at roughly 850 hPa \u2014 around 1.5 km above sea level \u2014 spreading across large portions of the continent and anomalies potentially reaching 8\u201312\u00b0C above average in parts of western, central and eventually northern Europe.<\/p>\n<p>The physical mechanism is straightforward.<\/p>\n<p>Under a strong ridge, air slowly sinks. As that air descends, it is compressed and warms. Cloud formation is suppressed, sunshine becomes more persistent and the ground heats efficiently during the afternoon.<\/p>\n<p>That is why strong blocking highs can turn an already warm air mass into exceptional surface heat.<\/p>\n<h2>Where the heat arrives first: Spain and Portugal<\/h2>\n<p>The clearest and most robust heat signal is over the Iberian Peninsula.<\/p>\n<p>Severe Weather Europe projects temperatures of <strong>34\u201338\u00b0C across south-central Spain and Portugal<\/strong>, with some scenarios approaching 40\u00b0C locally before the weekend.<\/p>\n<p>Fresh Weather Forecaster city guidance strongly supports the broad heat signal, though not necessarily 40\u00b0C in every city.<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/10797-weather-in-sevilla-spain\/month\">Seville<\/a>: the hottest major city in the forecast<\/h3>\n<div class=\"table-wrap\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Forecast high<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tuesday, September 22<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>35.6\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Wednesday, September 23<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>36.2\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Thursday, September 24<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>36.5\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Friday, September 25<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>37.1\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Saturday, September 26<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>36.8\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Sunday, September 27<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>33.7\u00b0C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Monday, September 28<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>33.2\u00b0C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>No meaningful rainfall is forecast through the entire period.<\/p>\n<p>AEMET independently confirms the same trend: its current forecast for Seville reaches <strong>37\u00b0C Wednesday and Thursday and around 38\u00b0C Friday<\/strong>, with dry conditions.<\/p>\n<p>This is therefore one of the strongest confirmed late-September heat signals in Europe.<\/p>\n<h3>Why southern Spain gets so hot<\/h3>\n<ol>\n<li>very warm continental air is already present over Iberia;<\/li>\n<li>the building ridge suppresses clouds and precipitation;<\/li>\n<li>the southwesterly circulation limits the arrival of cooler Atlantic air across inland Andalusia.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>The result is several consecutive days in the mid-to-upper 30s. For late September, that is exceptionally hot.<\/p>\n<h2>Lisbon: hot at first, then Atlantic influence returns<\/h2>\n<p>Portugal experiences a somewhat different evolution.<\/p>\n<p>Weather Forecaster model guidance gives Lisbon around <strong>31\u201332\u00b0C from Tuesday, September 22, through Friday, September 25<\/strong>, around 27\u00b0C on Saturday, September 26, and approximately 24\u201325\u00b0C on Sunday, September 27, and Monday, September 28.<\/p>\n<p>So the heat dome does reach western Iberia, but the Atlantic begins moderating coastal Portugal earlier than inland southern Spain.<\/p>\n<p>This illustrates one of the most important features of this setup: <strong>the Atlantic trough and continental heat ridge sit side by side.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A small shift in their boundary can mean the difference between 24\u00b0C and 35\u00b0C.<\/p>\n<h2>France: strong heat in the southwest, much weaker in Paris<\/h2>\n<p>France will also warm substantially, but the strength of the heat depends heavily on location.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France officially says temperatures will remain above seasonal averages through the end of September, with values often exceeding <strong>30\u00b0C in southern France<\/strong>. It expects approximately <strong>32\u201333\u00b0C along the Garonne corridor around Wednesday, September 23, and Thursday, September 24<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3>Bordeaux: clear heat-dome signal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Tuesday, September 22:<\/strong> 28.9\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Wednesday, September 23:<\/strong> 30.7\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Thursday, September 24:<\/strong> 32.2\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Friday, September 25:<\/strong> 30.1\u00b0C<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>After that, cooler Atlantic air begins pushing inland and temperatures fall. This is a strong late-season hot spell.<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/53-weather-in-paris-france\/month\">Paris<\/a>: warmer, but not a 30\u00b0C heatwave in the latest run<\/h3>\n<p>The broad Severe Weather Europe scenario had suggested northern France and the Benelux could climb into the low 30s.<\/p>\n<p>Current Weather Forecaster city guidance does <strong>not<\/strong> support that for Paris this week.<\/p>\n<div class=\"table-wrap\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Forecast high<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tuesday, September 22<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>24.2\u00b0C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Wednesday, September 23<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>25.2\u00b0C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Thursday, September 24<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>22.0\u00b0C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Friday, September 25<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>25.2\u00b0C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Saturday, September 26<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>23.2\u00b0C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Sunday, September 27<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>21.6\u00b0C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Monday, September 28<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>24.2\u00b0C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tuesday, September 29<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>26.0\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>Paris is warm for the time of year, but the present city forecast does not show a 30\u00b0C event.<\/p>\n<p>This does not mean the upper-level ridge forecast is wrong. It means the hottest low-level air currently remains farther southwest, while northern France stays closer to the boundary of the Atlantic flow.<\/p>\n<h2>United Kingdom: warmth reaches southern England, but no major heatwave<\/h2>\n<p>The broader heat-dome analysis suggests a brief spell of mid-to-upper 20s for southern <a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/weather-in-world\/77-united-kingdom\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"123\" title=\"Weather in UK\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">England<\/a>. Current Weather Forecaster guidance is more conservative.<\/p>\n<p>For <a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/10580-weather-in-london-united-kingdom\/month\"><strong>London<\/strong><\/a>, Tuesday, September 22, reaches about <strong>24.4\u00b0C<\/strong>; Wednesday falls near 21.7\u00b0C; Thursday near 19.8\u00b0C; Friday rebounds to 23.7\u00b0C; the weekend stays around 20\u201321\u00b0C; and Monday, September 28, falls to around 16.6\u00b0C.<\/p>\n<p>So London gets mild to warm weather, but <strong>the latest city forecast does not confirm a sustained late-September heatwave<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The Atlantic trough remains too close. Farther west \u2014 especially Ireland and western Scotland \u2014 the influence of the Atlantic remains stronger.<\/p>\n<p>Severe Weather Europe also highlights a high-moisture corridor into the western British Isles, with heavy orographic rainfall possible in exposed western areas.<\/p>\n<h2>Germany: the warming is delayed<\/h2>\n<p>Germany is perhaps the clearest example of why timing matters.<\/p>\n<p>The broad heat-dome analysis suggests temperatures could rise toward <strong>27\u201329\u00b0C<\/strong>, especially from Sunday into early next week. But the current city forecast shows that this warming arrives later than the core Iberian heat.<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/10593-weather-in-berlin-germany\/month\">Berlin<\/a><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Tuesday, September 22:<\/strong> 19.1\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Wednesday, September 23:<\/strong> 19.0\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Thursday, September 24:<\/strong> 16.4\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Friday, September 25:<\/strong> <strong>14.1\u00b0C<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Saturday, September 26:<\/strong> 18.0\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sunday, September 27:<\/strong> 18.8\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Monday, September 28:<\/strong> 19.3\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tuesday, September 29:<\/strong> <strong>21.3\u00b0C<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Wednesday, September 30:<\/strong> <strong>25.7\u00b0C<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The current forecast does support the idea of a warm ridge expanding into Germany \u2014 but <strong>later<\/strong>, around the very end of September rather than immediately this weekend.<\/p>\n<p>DWD\u2019s short-range forecast also remains cool for Wednesday, September 23, and Thursday, September 24, with many German stations around 16\u201320\u00b0C.<\/p>\n<p>For Germany the best wording is: <strong>warming is likely, but the strongest phase is delayed toward Tuesday, September 29, and Wednesday, September 30.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>Northern Italy: warming returns gradually<\/h2>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/88-weather-in-milano-italy\/month\">Milan<\/a><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Tuesday, September 22:<\/strong> 24.9\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Wednesday, September 23:<\/strong> 23.7\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Thursday, September 24:<\/strong> 25.4\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Friday, September 25:<\/strong> 23.3\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Saturday, September 26:<\/strong> 24.1\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sunday, September 27:<\/strong> 25.8\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Monday, September 28:<\/strong> <strong>27.0\u00b0C<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Milan is therefore not seeing immediate 30\u00b0C heat, but the upward trend is clear.<\/p>\n<h3>Florence and Tuscany<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Tuesday, September 22:<\/strong> 27.2\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Wednesday, September 23:<\/strong> 25.5\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Thursday, September 24:<\/strong> 25.7\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Friday, September 25:<\/strong> 23.1\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Saturday, September 26:<\/strong> 26.0\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sunday, September 27:<\/strong> <strong>28.3\u00b0C<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Monday, September 28:<\/strong> <strong>29.3\u00b0C<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This closely matches the broader analysis, which identifies Tuscany and the Po Valley as among the warmest areas of Italy once the ridge strengthens.<\/p>\n<p>Italy\u2019s warming is real, but it is strongest toward <strong>Sunday, September 27, through Tuesday, September 29<\/strong>, not uniformly throughout the week.<\/p>\n<h2>Balkans: a dramatic rebound after the cold blast<\/h2>\n<p>The Balkans have just experienced one of the sharpest cool spells of the month. Temperatures fell dramatically, and snow reached high terrain in Romania and Bulgaria. Now the pattern reverses.<\/p>\n<h3>Zagreb<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Tuesday, September 22:<\/strong> 18.6\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Wednesday, September 23:<\/strong> 19.7\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Thursday, September 24:<\/strong> 21.1\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Friday, September 25:<\/strong> 17.4\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Saturday, September 26:<\/strong> 20.5\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sunday, September 27:<\/strong> 23.3\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Monday, September 28:<\/strong> <strong>24.7\u00b0C<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>That is a significant rebound from the cool middle of the week.<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/59-weather-in-athens-greece\">Athens<\/a><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Tuesday, September 22:<\/strong> 22.7\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Wednesday, September 23:<\/strong> 23.0\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Thursday, September 24:<\/strong> 24.3\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Friday, September 25:<\/strong> 25.6\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Saturday, September 26:<\/strong> 24.4\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sunday, September 27:<\/strong> <strong>27.0\u00b0C<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Monday, September 28:<\/strong> <strong>26.9\u00b0C<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Greece returns toward late-summer warmth by the weekend. This is consistent with the larger ridge gradually expanding east and northeast.<\/p>\n<h2>Scandinavia: the strongest warmth is not here yet<\/h2>\n<p>The broader scenario projects the warm ridge farther north toward Sweden and Finland around the turn of the month, suggesting that the strongest temperature anomalies could eventually shift into Scandinavia.<\/p>\n<p>Current Weather Forecaster city guidance for Stockholm does <strong>not yet show major warmth through Monday, September 28<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Tuesday, September 22:<\/strong> 17.0\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Wednesday, September 23:<\/strong> 16.8\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Thursday, September 24:<\/strong> 15.0\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Friday, September 25:<\/strong> 13.6\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Saturday, September 26:<\/strong> 13.6\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sunday, September 27:<\/strong> 14.2\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Monday, September 28:<\/strong> 15.2\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tuesday, September 29:<\/strong> 17.0\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Wednesday, September 30:<\/strong> 17.4\u00b0C<\/li>\n<li><strong>Thursday, October 1:<\/strong> 17.6\u00b0C<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>So the northward expansion of the warm anomaly remains a <strong>longer-range signal<\/strong>, not yet a strong short-range surface heat event in Stockholm.<\/p>\n<p>Upper-air temperature anomalies can become very strong before the full surface response appears at a specific city. Clouds, wind direction, proximity to cold seas and shallow autumn boundary layers can all limit daytime temperatures.<\/p>\n<h2>Main cities: Tuesday, September 22 \u2014 Monday, September 28<\/h2>\n<div class=\"table-wrap\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>City<\/th>\n<th>Coldest \/ lowest high<\/th>\n<th>Peak high<\/th>\n<th>Rain signal<\/th>\n<th>Main trend<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/10797-weather-in-sevilla-spain\/month\"><strong>Seville<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td>33.2\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>37.1\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>0 mm<\/td>\n<td>Exceptional late-season heat<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Lisbon<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>24.4\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>31.7\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>0 mm<\/td>\n<td>Hot first, cooler by weekend<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Bordeaux<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>23.3\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>32.2\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>~4 mm late<\/td>\n<td>Strong southwest France heat<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/53-weather-in-paris-france\/month\"><strong>Paris<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td>21.6\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>25.2\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Little<\/td>\n<td>Warm, but no 30\u00b0C signal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/10580-weather-in-london-united-kingdom\/month\"><strong>London<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td>16.6\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>24.4\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Little<\/td>\n<td>Mild, Atlantic influence persists<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/10593-weather-in-berlin-germany\/month\"><strong>Berlin<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td>14.1\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>19.3\u00b0C<\/strong> through Sep. 28<\/td>\n<td>Light<\/td>\n<td>Stronger warmth delayed<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/88-weather-in-milano-italy\/month\"><strong>Milan<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td>23.3\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>27.0\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>0 mm<\/td>\n<td>Gradual late-week warming<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Florence<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>23.1\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>29.3\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>0 mm<\/td>\n<td>Strong warmth by Sunday\u2013Monday<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Zagreb<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>17.4\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>24.7\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>~8 mm Thu<\/td>\n<td>Strong recovery after cold spell<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/59-weather-in-athens-greece\"><strong>Athens<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td>22.7\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>27.0\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Little<\/td>\n<td>Late-summer warmth returns<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Stockholm<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>13.6\u00b0C<\/td>\n<td><strong>17.0\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Little<\/td>\n<td>No strong heat signal yet<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Where the biggest warm-up will occur<\/h2>\n<h3>Phase 1 \u2014 Iberia and southwestern France: Tuesday, September 22 \u2014 Friday, September 25<\/h3>\n<p>This is the strongest immediate heat zone. Southern Spain reaches <strong>36\u201338\u00b0C<\/strong>. Southwestern France reaches <strong>30\u201333\u00b0C<\/strong>. Portugal remains hot, though Atlantic moderation begins near the coast.<\/p>\n<h3>Phase 2 \u2014 Italy and the central Mediterranean: Saturday, September 26 \u2014 Tuesday, September 29<\/h3>\n<p>The ridge expands east. Northern and central Italy warm into the upper 20s. Florence approaches 29\u201330\u00b0C. Milan reaches the upper 20s. Parts of the Balkans rebound into the low-to-mid 20s after the cold spell.<\/p>\n<h3>Phase 3 \u2014 Germany and farther north: around Tuesday, September 29, into early October<\/h3>\n<p>Fresh Weather Forecaster guidance suggests the warm push into Germany is delayed. Berlin goes from only 14\u00b0C on Friday, September 25, to about <strong>26\u00b0C by Wednesday, September 30<\/strong> \u2014 a rise of roughly 12\u00b0C in five days.<\/p>\n<p>This supports the broader atmospheric idea of the ridge migrating northeast, although the exact intensity remains lower in some cities than earlier deterministic scenarios suggested.<\/p>\n<h2>Why this warm spell is so unusual<\/h2>\n<p>Late September is a transition season. Solar radiation is already much weaker than in July or August, nights are significantly longer and the average temperature declines rapidly across northern and central Europe.<\/p>\n<p>That means reaching 35\u201338\u00b0C in Spain or near 30\u00b0C in Tuscany this late in the month requires a particularly warm air mass plus strong subsidence and sunshine.<\/p>\n<p>Severe Weather Europe estimates that parts of western Europe could experience near-surface temperature anomalies around <strong>10\u201314\u00b0C above late-September climatology<\/strong> in the core of the warm spell.<\/p>\n<p>But that number should be treated as a <strong>regional anomaly signal<\/strong>, not a promise that every city will be 10\u201314\u00b0C above average.<\/p>\n<h2>The Atlantic low is just as important as the heat dome<\/h2>\n<p>A heat dome does not develop in isolation.<\/p>\n<p>The deep trough over the North Atlantic actually helps amplify the ridge over continental Europe. The stronger the Atlantic trough becomes, the stronger the southwesterly flow on its eastern side can become.<\/p>\n<p>That flow transports warm air northward from Iberia, North Africa and the Mediterranean.<\/p>\n<p>This creates an atmospheric dipole: <strong>Atlantic low to the west + strong European ridge to the east.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Between them lies a fast southwesterly corridor. That same corridor can carry very moist air toward Ireland, western Scotland and Norway.<\/p>\n<p>So Europe can simultaneously have <strong>37\u00b0C sunshine in Spain and heavy Atlantic rainfall farther northwest<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2>Why the heat dome does not mean heat everywhere<\/h2>\n<p>A \u201cheat dome over Europe\u201d is a continental-scale description. It does not mean London, Paris, Berlin, Stockholm, Madrid and Milan all experience the same temperature.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>distance from the ridge center;<\/li>\n<li>wind direction near the surface;<\/li>\n<li>cloud cover;<\/li>\n<li>proximity to the Atlantic or North Sea;<\/li>\n<li>elevation;<\/li>\n<li>soil moisture;<\/li>\n<li>timing of frontal passages;<\/li>\n<li>how deeply the warm upper-level air mixes down to the surface.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>That is why Seville can reach 37\u00b0C while Berlin remains near 14\u201319\u00b0C on the same day.<\/p>\n<h2>Spain: the strongest confirmed heat risk<\/h2>\n<p>Of all the claims in the broader European heat-dome scenario, <strong>Spain has the strongest short-range confirmation<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Weather Forecaster model guidance gives Seville 36\u201337\u00b0C for several consecutive days. AEMET gives very similar values and predicts up to 38\u00b0C.<\/p>\n<p>AEMET\u2019s seasonal outlook also favors above-normal temperatures across Spain during September\u2013October\u2013November, though seasonal guidance should not be interpreted as a day-to-day heatwave forecast.<\/p>\n<p>So the late-September Spanish heat is supported at multiple time scales.<\/p>\n<h2>France: official forecasts confirm the southern heat<\/h2>\n<p>M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France provides strong official support for the southern French warming.<\/p>\n<p>Its September 21 update says the air mass is warming and temperatures will remain above seasonal averages through the end of September.<\/p>\n<p>It expects widespread temperatures above 30\u00b0C in the south, and <strong>32\u201333\u00b0C around the Garonne basin<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France also highlights a significant wildfire danger because hot, dry weather is combining with already dry vegetation around the Mediterranean.<\/p>\n<h2>Germany: why the forecast is less certain<\/h2>\n<p>The difference between Severe Weather Europe\u2019s broad 27\u201329\u00b0C German scenario and the cooler short-range city forecast is mostly a question of timing.<\/p>\n<p>DWD still has Germany near the upper teens around Wednesday, September 23, and Thursday, September 24. The city forecast then begins warming Berlin after Monday, September 28, reaching about 26\u00b0C by Wednesday, September 30.<\/p>\n<p>So the warming mechanism exists. What remains uncertain is exactly <strong>how quickly the ridge expands eastward and how efficiently the warmer air reaches the surface<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2>What happens at the end of September?<\/h2>\n<p>The biggest forecast question is whether the ridge continues migrating north and east.<\/p>\n<p>Severe Weather Europe argues that ensemble trends favor blocking through the end of September and into early October, with the warm anomaly eventually extending from France and Germany toward Denmark, Sweden and Finland.<\/p>\n<p>Fresh Weather Forecaster guidance provides <strong>partial support<\/strong> for that evolution. Berlin clearly warms by Wednesday, September 30. Paris reaches 26\u00b0C on Tuesday, September 29, though it then turns cooler again. Stockholm warms only modestly toward 17\u201318\u00b0C.<\/p>\n<p>So the broad warm ridge remains plausible, but the surface heat signal becomes much less certain with latitude and forecast lead time.<\/p>\n<h2>Is this another summer heatwave?<\/h2>\n<p>In southern Spain, the answer is effectively yes in terms of temperature. Values near 37\u201338\u00b0C would qualify as genuine summer-like extreme heat even though astronomical autumn has begun.<\/p>\n<p>In southwestern France, 30\u201333\u00b0C is also exceptionally warm for late September.<\/p>\n<p>In northern France, Britain, Germany and Scandinavia, however, it is more accurate to describe the event as an <strong>unseasonably warm spell<\/strong> rather than a confirmed heatwave based on current short-range forecasts.<\/p>\n<h2>Could records fall?<\/h2>\n<p>Potentially, especially in southwestern Europe.<\/p>\n<p>But record claims require comparison with official station climatology.<\/p>\n<p>A 37\u201338\u00b0C forecast for Seville is extremely hot for late September, but it should not automatically be called a record until AEMET confirms the relevant station record.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, 30\u201333\u00b0C in southern France is highly unusual, but whether a local record falls depends on the station and exact date.<\/p>\n<p>For now, the safest description is: <strong>exceptional late-season heat with potential for local records, especially in Spain and southern France.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>What about wildfire danger?<\/h2>\n<p>This may become one of the more important secondary impacts.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France specifically notes that persistent warmth and lack of rain are increasing wildfire sensitivity in southern France, where vegetation remains very dry.<\/p>\n<p>Southern Spain is also forecast to remain completely dry during the hottest phase.<\/p>\n<p>Several consecutive days near 35\u201338\u00b0C, low humidity and dry fuels can increase fire-weather risk even without strong winds.<\/p>\n<p>Any official wildfire restrictions or alerts should be checked locally.<\/p>\n<h2>What the latest forecasts confirm \u2014 and what they do not<\/h2>\n<h3>Strongly confirmed<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Southern Spain:<\/strong> mid-to-upper 30s, locally near 38\u00b0C.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Southwestern France:<\/strong> 30\u201333\u00b0C.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Northern\/central Italy:<\/strong> warming into the upper 20s late in the week.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Balkans:<\/strong> substantial recovery after the polar outbreak.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Germany:<\/strong> warming arrives later, particularly around Tuesday, September 29, and Wednesday, September 30.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Partially confirmed<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Paris \/ northern France:<\/strong> warm, but the latest city guidance stays mostly in the low-to-mid 20s rather than 30\u00b0C.<\/li>\n<li><strong>London:<\/strong> mild to warm, but no major heatwave signal.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stockholm \/ Scandinavia:<\/strong> warmer air may arrive later, but strong surface warmth is not yet confirmed through the end of September.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Not confirmed in the latest city forecast<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>widespread 30\u00b0C temperatures across northern France;<\/li>\n<li>27\u201329\u00b0C in Berlin during the immediate weekend;<\/li>\n<li>a major warm spell in Stockholm before Tuesday, September 29.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Those outcomes could still reappear in later runs if the ridge strengthens or shifts.<\/p>\n<h2>Europe weather forecast: Tuesday, September 22 \u2014 Monday, September 28<\/h2>\n<div class=\"table-wrap\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Region<\/th>\n<th>Peak timing<\/th>\n<th>Current signal<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Spain<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Thursday, September 24 \u2014 Saturday, September 26<\/td>\n<td>Seville around <strong>36\u201337\u00b0C<\/strong>, locally possibly hotter<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Portugal<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Tuesday, September 22 \u2014 Friday, September 25<\/td>\n<td>Lisbon near <strong>31\u201332\u00b0C<\/strong>, followed by Atlantic cooling<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Southwestern France<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Wednesday, September 23 \u2014 Friday, September 25<\/td>\n<td>Bordeaux around <strong>31\u201332\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Paris \/ northern France<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Variable<\/td>\n<td>Mainly <strong>22\u201326\u00b0C<\/strong>, warmer than average but much less extreme<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>United Kingdom<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Tuesday and Friday<\/td>\n<td>Southern England mostly <strong>20\u201324\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Germany<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Later, around Sep. 29\u201330<\/td>\n<td>Berlin cool first at <strong>14\u201319\u00b0C<\/strong>, then much warmer<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Northern Italy<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Sunday, September 27 \u2014 Monday, September 28<\/td>\n<td>Milan gradually rises toward <strong>27\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tuscany<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Sunday, September 27 \u2014 Monday, September 28<\/td>\n<td>Florence approaches <strong>29\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Balkans<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Weekend<\/td>\n<td>Temperatures recover into the low-to-mid 20s<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Greece<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Sunday, September 27 \u2014 Monday, September 28<\/td>\n<td>Athens rises back toward <strong>27\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Scandinavia<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Later-range signal<\/td>\n<td>Stockholm still mostly <strong>14\u201317\u00b0C<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>The bigger picture: Europe\u2019s weather pendulum swings again<\/h2>\n<p>The most remarkable feature of late September 2026 may not be the absolute heat alone. It is the speed of the transition.<\/p>\n<p>Within days, the continent moves from <strong>snow in the Carpathians, frost risk in Germany and unusually cold Balkan weather<\/strong> to <strong>37\u00b0C in southern Spain, 32\u00b0C in southwestern France and a rapidly rebuilding warm ridge over central Europe.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>That dramatic swing is the result of highly amplified atmospheric circulation.<\/p>\n<p>A deep Atlantic trough and a strong European ridge are creating large north-south exchanges of air.<\/p>\n<p>One week sends polar air deep into southeastern Europe. The next draws subtropical air far north.<\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>A major warm pattern is returning to Europe, but the latest data show it will be <strong>highly uneven<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The strongest and most certain heat is over <strong>Spain and southwestern France<\/strong>, where temperatures of 30\u201338\u00b0C are strongly supported by both city guidance and national forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>Italy and the Balkans warm more gradually. Germany likely sees its most important warming closer to the end of September.<\/p>\n<p>Farther north, especially around Stockholm, the aggressive early-October heat-dome scenario remains a longer-range possibility rather than a fully confirmed short-range event.<\/p>\n<p>The key feature to watch is the position of the Atlantic trough.<\/p>\n<p>If it stays farther west, the European ridge can expand farther north and east, allowing much warmer air into Germany and Scandinavia. If the Atlantic low shifts east sooner, western and northern Europe will cool before the heat dome fully develops.<\/p>\n<div class=\"cta\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-230686\" src=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Pogodnik2-scaled.webp\" alt=\"Weather Forecaster app\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Pogodnik2-scaled.webp 2560w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=300,height=169,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Pogodnik2.webp 300w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=600,height=338,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Pogodnik2.webp 600w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=768,height=432,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Pogodnik2.webp 768w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=1536,height=864,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Pogodnik2.webp 1536w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=2048,height=1152,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Pogodnik2.webp 2048w, https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=150,height=84,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Pogodnik2.webp 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><strong>Track Europe weather in Weather Forecaster<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Follow hourly temperature, precipitation and wind changes as the ridge expands across Europe and the Atlantic boundary shifts from day to day.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.bitltd.pogodnik\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Get Weather Forecaster for Android<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Sources<\/h2>\n<div class=\"sources\">\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Severe Weather Europe<\/strong> \u2014 synoptic analysis of the late-September\/early-October ridge, Atlantic trough, heat-dome development and projected temperature anomalies: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.severe-weather.eu\/global-weather\/return-of-heat-dome-heatwave-europe-late-september-october-2026-mk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">analysis<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France<\/strong> \u2014 official guidance confirming renewed heat across southern France, 30\u00b0C+ temperatures, 32\u201333\u00b0C potential along the Garonne corridor and elevated wildfire danger: <a href=\"https:\/\/meteofrance.com\/actualites\/meteo-fortes-chaleurs-secheresse-et-danger-feux-de-foret-pour-le-debut-dautomne\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">official update<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>AEMET<\/strong> \u2014 official Seville forecast confirming approximately 36\u201338\u00b0C during the peak of the late-September hot spell: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aemet.es\/en\/eltiempo\/prediccion\/municipios\/sevilla-id41091\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Seville forecast<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>DWD<\/strong> \u2014 official German short-range guidance confirming the immediate Wednesday, September 23 \u2014 Thursday, September 24 period remains much cooler before later warming.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Weather Forecaster forecast model<\/strong> \u2014 city-level temperature and precipitation checks for Seville, Lisbon, Bordeaux, Paris, London, Berlin, Milan, Florence, Zagreb, Athens and Stockholm, with extended checks through Thursday, October 1, for Paris, Berlin and Stockholm.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"small\"><em>This is a weather forecast, not a guarantee of record temperatures. Official warnings and local emergency information from national meteorological services take priority over model guidance.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/news\/winter-2026-2027-forecast-turns-colder-for-parts-of-the-u-s\">Winter Forecast 2027<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Europe is warming sharply after the polar outbreak: southern Spain may reach 37\u201338\u00b0C, southwest France 32\u201333\u00b0C, while Germany warms later and northern Europe remains much cooler.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":253259,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,6211],"class_list":["post-255189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-ukweather","tag-heat","tag-heat-dome","tag-long-term-weather-forecast","tag-rainfall","tag-severe-weather-en","tag-weather-forecast","tag-wildfire"],"acf":[],"wpml_data":{"original_post_id":255189,"trid":"4893872","lang":"en","source_lang":null},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255189","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=255189"}],"version-history":[{"count":"1","href":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255189\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":255191,"href":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255189\/revisions\/255191"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/253259"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=255189"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pogodnik.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=255189"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}